重力式船坞边坡多级动态预警系统研究*
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上海市优秀学术/技术项目(23XD1434800)


Multi-level dynamic warning of gravity dock slope
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    摘要:

    重力式船坞边坡开挖面积大、开挖周期长;传统的终态位移预警方法难以实现在长开挖周期中各阶段稳定性的差异化评估;极限平衡分析方法作为静态力学评价模型,需要坡体准确的物理力学性质指标,且当船坞边坡在开挖过程中受环境或施工因素影响较大时,模型将进一步失真,具有较大的局限性。基于此,建立船坞边坡多级动态预警系统,通过自动化监测设备对船坞边坡进行远程、自动、实时监测,并对时序序列数据进行相似性分析,识别船坞边坡开挖过程中的异常环境及施工因素,在此基础上调用PLAXIS接口进行各级边坡开挖稳定性评估,实现重力式船坞边坡多级动态预警。多级动态预警系统在舟山某船坞边坡开挖过程中精确识别到异常环境因素,并动态调整初始岩土体物理力学参数,实现各级边坡位移预测及开挖稳定性的超前预报,指导施工人员及时防护,避免经济损失和人员伤亡,能为船坞边坡灾害预报提供新的评估手段和超前预报方向。

    Abstract:

    Gravity dock slope excavation is characterized by extensive excavation areas and prolonged construction periods.Traditional terminal displacement warning methods are difficult to achieve differentiated stability assessments across various stages of the long excavation period.As a static mechanical evaluation model,the limit equilibrium analysis method requires precise physical and mechanical property indices of the slope.However,when environmental or construction factors significantly influence the dock slope during excavation,the model becomes further distorted,exhibiting notable limitations.Based on this,this study establishes a multi-level dynamic early warning system for dock slopes.The system employs automated monitoring devices to conduct remote,automatic,and real-time monitoring of dock slopes,followed by similarity analysis of time-series data to identify abnormal environmental and construction factors during excavation.On this basis,the system invokes the PLAXIS interface for stability evaluation at each excavation stage,enabling multi-level dynamic warnings for gravity dock slopes.During the excavation of a dock slope in Zhoushan,the multi-level dynamic warning system accurately identified abnormal environmental factors,dynamically adjusted initial geotechnical physical-mechanical parameters,achieving advanced prediction of slope displacement and excavation stability at all levels,guiding construction personnel to protect in a timely manner,avoiding economic losses and casualties.This system provides new evaluation methods and advanced prediction directions for dock slope disaster prediction.

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殷 骏,赵庆喜,章祝君,等.重力式船坞边坡多级动态预警系统研究*[J].水运工程,2026(1):209-216.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-01-19
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