基于时空数据场论的港口碳排放足迹研究*
DOI:
CSTR:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(52277193)


Port carbon emission footprint based on spatiotemporal data field theory
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    针对传统核算方法难以全面反映港口碳排放空间分布特征与动态演化趋势的问题,开展了基于时空数据场论的港口碳排放足迹研究。以中国北方某大型港口为研究对象,引入时空数据场理论框架,构建港口碳排放势场模型,整合港口不同区域在时间与空间维度上的碳排放数据,采用势值叠加与时空距离转化等方法,实现碳排放强度的时空映射、趋势预测与减排效益评估。结果表明,港口碳排放具有显著的空间不均衡性与时间持续性特征。其中生产区碳排放占比达40%~45%,年增长率为2.64%;码头区排放与靠泊密度密切相关,岸电系统普及后碳排放强度下降10%~15%。通过模型预测与实际对比验证,在实施差异化减排措施的情况下,港口碳排放年增长率由4.28%降低至2.15%,年减排潜力达447 t。该模型可为复杂系统的碳排放动态监测与预测分析提供理论支持,对推动港口行业低碳转型、构建绿色智慧港口具有重要现实意义。

    Abstract:

    To address the limitations of traditional accounting methods in fully reflecting the spatial distribution and dynamic evolution of port carbon emissions,this study conducts a carbon emission footprint analysis based on spatiotemporal data field theory.Taking a large port in northern China as the research object,a theoretical framework of spatiotemporal data fields is introduced to construct a port carbon emission potential field model.By integrating emission data from different port areas across spatial and temporal dimensions,and applying methods such as potential value superposition and spatiotemporal distance transformation,spatiotemporal mapping,trend forecasting,and emission reduction evaluation can be achieved.The results show that port carbon emissions exhibit significant spatial heterogeneity and temporal persistence.Specifically,the production area accounts for 40%-45% of emissions,with an annual growth rate of 2.64%.emissions in the dock area are closely related to berthing density and decreased by 10%-15% after the widespread adoption of shore power systems.Through the comparison of model prediction and actual data,it is verified that under differentiated emission reduction measures,the annual growth rate of port emissions dropped from 4.28% to 2.15%,with an annual reduction potential of 447 t.The model can provide theoretical support for dynamic monitoring and predictive analysis of carbon emissions in complex systems,and can contributes to the low-carbon transformation of the port industry and the construction of green and smart ports.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

杜永腾.基于时空数据场论的港口碳排放足迹研究*[J].水运工程,2025(12):46-53.

复制
分享
相关视频

文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-12-19
  • 出版日期:
文章二维码