疏浚工程作业水域波浪的快速预测
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Rapid waves prediction in dredging project operation water area
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    摘要:

    针对耙吸船耙臂系统等疏浚机具操作受波浪影响问题,及其对疏浚船作业过程中波浪的快速预测要求,基于ConvLSTM神经网络模型建立了面向疏浚船作业海域的波浪快速预测模型,利用疏浚工程海域的波高、周期的数值模拟后报结果数据作为训练样本,对波浪预测网络模型进行训练。结果表明:所建立的神经网络对疏浚工程海域的波浪预测所需时间仅2~5 s,对作业海域波高分布的前向6 h的波浪预测相关度达0.956;当预测步长增大到12 h后,受训练数据不均衡影响,神经网络对波浪的预测精度明显下降至0.849。因此,模型可用于疏浚作业海域进行波浪的短时快速预测,为船舶安全操作提供依据。

    Abstract:

    Aiming at the problem that the operation of dredging equipment such as the trailing arm system is affected by waves,and the requirement for rapid prediction of waves during the operation of dredging ship,a rapid wave prediction model for the operation sea area of dredgers is established based on the ConvLSTM neural network model.The numerical simulation results of wave height and period in the dredging project sea area are used as training samples to train the wave prediction network model.Based on the analysis of the demand for rapid wave prediction in the dredging operation process,this paper proposes ConvLSTM-based neural network models for rapid wave prediction in dredging project areas.The models are trained using retrospective data from traditional wave mathematical models,enabling accurate and rapid prediction of wave height and period in dredging operation water areas.The results show that the established neural network required only 2-5 s for wave prediction in the dredging project,and the correlation of wave prediction for the forward 6 h wave height distribution in the operating sea area reaches 0.956.When the prediction step size increases to 12 h,the neural network’s prediction accuracy for waves significantly decreases to 0.849 due to the uneven training data.Therefore,this model can be used for short-term and rapid wave prediction in dredging operation areas,providing a basis for safe operation of ships.

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郝宇驰,曲嘉铭,林斌良,等.疏浚工程作业水域波浪的快速预测[J].水运工程,2025(9):23-29.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-09-16
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