基于卷积神经网络的港内系泊船运动响应预报模型*
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海岸与海洋工程全国重点实验室开放基金项目(LP2510)


A prediction model for motion responses of moored ships in harbor based on convolutional neural networks
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    摘要:

    针对现代港口系泊安全与作业效率提升的需求,建立了基于卷积神经网络(convolutional neural networks,CNN)的港内系泊船运动响应快速预报模型。采用MIKE21-SW模拟工程海域近十年波况,利用最大差异算法(maximum dissimilarity algorithm,MDA)筛选出212组代表性及重现期工况。通过MIKE21-BW与MA软件进行数值模拟,提取系泊船运动响应数据并构建港口水动力数据库,用于预报模型的训练与验证。预报模型以港外波高、周期及波向为输入,输出船舶六自由度运动量。针对测试集的预报结果显示,该模型皮尔逊相关系数均高于0.90,其中平移运动的平均绝对误差不大于0.015 m,转动运动的平均绝对误差控制在0.015°以内。该模型能够有效捕捉系泊运动的非线性特征,实现海量历史数据向精细化运动后报的快速转化,已成功应用于2021—2023年工程海域逐日波浪工况下的船舶运动后报。研究成果可为港口优化系泊计划提供科学决策依据。

    Abstract:

    A rapid prediction model for motion responses of moored ship in harbors is developed based on convolutional neural networks (CNN) to enhance mooring safety and operational efficiency.Offshore wave conditions over a decade are simulated using MIKE21-SW.The maximum difference algorithm (MDA) is employed to select 212 groups of representative and return-period scenarios from offshore wave conditions spanning nearly a decade.Numerical simulations are conducted using the MIKE21-BW and MA software to extract motion response data of moored ship and establish a hydrodynamic database for the training and validation of the prediction model.With incident wave height,period,and direction as inputs,the model predicts six-degree-of-freedom motion of the ship.The prediction results indicate that the Pearson correlation coefficients of this model are all above 0.90,with the mean absolute error for translational motion not exceeding 0.015 m and the average absolute error of rotational motion controlled within 0.015°.The model can effectively capture the nonlinear characteristics of mooring motions and enable rapid transformation of massive historical data into refined motion hindcasts.It has been successfully applied to the daily wave-condition-based vessel motion hindcasting in the project’s sea area from 2021 to 2023.The research findings can provide a scientific basis for ports to optimize mooring plans

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孙鹏德,黄 帆,杨 珏,等.基于卷积神经网络的港内系泊船运动响应预报模型*[J].水运工程,2026(8):51-61.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-08-20
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