基于微山三线船闸的通航设施扩能改造评价方法研究*
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国家重点研发计划课题项目(2023YFC3206105)


Evaluation method of navigation facility capacity expansion and renovation based on Weishan third-line ship lock
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    摘要:

    针对通航设施扩能改造过程中,改造方案涉及关键指标科学量化与权重系数合理确定的两个关键问题,通过层次分析法(analytic hierarchy process,AHP)对指标进行量化分析和权重计算,构建了一套适用于通航设施扩能改造的评价方法。结合微山三线船闸扩能改造的实例,通过模糊综合评价法,对微山三线船闸扩能改造的必要性、经济可行性、技术可行性、环境影响、社会影响进行了综合分析。结果表明:通航设施扩能改造过程中,经济内部收益率、运量超过通过能力程度、生态环境影响、地形条件、地质条件5项指标权重占比之和已达到0.43,接近0.5,应作为扩能改造项目的重点关注指标。微山三线船闸扩能改造的必要性较强,在改造方案论证过程中,应重点关注技术方案的可行性和环境影响两方面问题。

    Abstract:

    In the process of capacity expansion and renovation of navigation facilities,two key issues are involved in the renovation plan:the scientific quantification of key indicators and the reasonable determination of weight coefficients.Through the analytic hierarchy process (AHP),the indicators are quantitatively analyzed,and the weights are calculated,establishing an evaluation method suitable for the capacity expansion and renovation of navigation facilities.Taking the capacity expansion and renovation of the Weishan third-line ship lock as an example,the necessity,economic feasibility,technical feasibility,environmental impact,and social impact of the capacity expansion and renovation of the Weishan third-line ship lock are comprehensively analyzed through the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method.The results show that in the process of capacity expansion and renovation of navigation facilities,the sum of the weight ratios of five indicators,namely the economic internal rate of return (EIRR),the degree of cargo volume exceeding the passing capacity,ecological and environmental impact,terrain conditions,and geological conditions,has reached 0.43,approaching 0.5,and should be regarded as key indicators for the capacity expansion and renovation project.The necessity of the capacity expansion and renovation of the Weishan third-line ship lock is relatively strong.During the argumentation of the renovation plan,attention should be paid to the feasibility of the technical plan and the environmental impact.

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杜沛霖,姜兴良.基于微山三线船闸的通航设施扩能改造评价方法研究*[J].水运工程,2026(7):98-103.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-07-17
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